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Enki Research Blog

Binary Thinking

In reading “news” stories lately, not to mention various comments in social media about topics ranging from politics to COVID vaccines, I was struck again by the power of binary thinking, as well as how perceptions are manipulated by asking (and answering) the wrong question. Another frequent related problem is making assertions that are perhaps … Continue reading

COVID19 Mortality: A look back

TLDR: The 27 March 2020 forecast all population symptomatic case fatality rate based on the Diamond Princess cruse ship data was 1.71%. The current (20 January 2021) US symptomatic case fatality rate is 1.67%. So while the public perceptions and actions have been shifting, the bottom line hasn’t changed that much, and while there was … Continue reading

Doomwatch, 20 Jan 2021

It’s been super busy and I’ve been swamped trying to reset things after major changes my organizational landscape, but we continue to have the usual share of doom stalking the Earth: it’s hurricane season in the southern hemisphere, there have been a couple of significant earthquakes. The SARS-COV-2 virus that causes COVID-19 continues to be … Continue reading

What can be said about the last week?

What can be said about the events of the last week that hasn’t been said? A lot, actually, since most of what has been said on social and corporate media is either bullcrap or out of context, but I don’t think anybody wants to hear it. Not that I’ll let that stop me 😛 I’m … Continue reading

US #Icestorm developing …

There is a huge frontal system slowly grinding to a halt across the US, with a low pressure system forming at the tail end over Texas. Here is the current synoptic weather map … … and MRMS radar composite as of around 9:30am Thursday. The low is expected to scoot up along the front, and … Continue reading

Major #Earthquake in #Croatia

Over the last few days there have been a series of small earthquakes in Croatia. This morning US time (noon CET) a shallow M6.4 hit, and early reports are to have caused significant damage. At least one person has been killed, and the mayor of Petrinja reports “This is a catastrophe. My city is completely … Continue reading

Update on Various Stuff …

Doing some major end of year restructuring, with the ending of one era and the beginning of another and major changes in my funding and work environment coming to a head. Some announcements on that coming with the new year. While I think 2021 will present a lot of challenges for us all, and with … Continue reading

Severe weather approaching Coastal GA, SC

The Charleston WSFO has raised severe thunderstorm warnings for most of the area, and a tornado has been detected near Hampton SC. Here’s the radar at the moment (just before 6:30pm Christmas Eve) – the tornado is the bright white dot just north (up) from the black circle of no data over the radar station … Continue reading

Jupiter and Saturn

Conjunctions (the close approach of two objects) happen fairly frequently on a cosmic scale – Jupiter and Saturn pass one another about every 20 years, but today Jupiter and Saturn are the closest they have been in the sky since the year 1226, almost 800 years ago! This is one of those events that sounds … Continue reading

Cyclone Yasa and Fiji

While the snowstorm made headlines in the US yesterday, cyclone Yasa crossed the islands of Fiji yesterday … Loss of life seems light, two deaths confirmed so far as of Friday morning US East Coast time, but damage is extensive. Fortunately the damage swath missed the more densely populated island of Viti Levu and main … Continue reading

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