Cyclone Yaas is currently (Tuesday Morning ET) has not strengthened as forecast, and is likely to only be a minimal hurricane when it makes landfall about 24 hours from now. Here is the current forecast impact swath using my TAOS/TC model, based on the JTWC forecast track:
While a huge number of people are still expected to be exposed to tropical storm conditions (78 million), the number at risk of truly dangerous conditions is now under a million, and the storm is still expected to cause considerable disruption in the Kolkata area. And, of course, this will exacerbate the ongoing COVID19 pandemic and tremendous death and suffering that has caused in the country. But the weaker storm is good news …
